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Home Prices, Inflation, and Family Income

Three lines set to 100 in 1970 and left to run for 55 years. The vertical gaps are the whole story: what homes did, what paychecks did, and what the dollar itself did.

Average home priceMedian family income (through 2024)Inflation (CPI)
Home price, median family income, and inflation (CPI) by year, each indexed to 1970 = 100, with the underlying average home price and median family income in dollars. Income runs through 2024.
YearHome indexIncome indexCPI indexAverage home priceMedian family income
1970100100100$26,650$9,867
1971105.4104.3104.4$28,100$10,290
1972112.9112.7107.7$30,075$11,120
1973131.7122.1114.4$35,100$12,050
1974145.3130.7127.1$38,725$12,900
1975159.6139138.7$42,525$13,720
1976180.3151.6146.6$48,050$14,960
1977203.9162.3156.2$54,350$16,010
1978235.3178.8168$62,700$17,640
1979269.8198.5187.1$71,900$19,590
1980286.6213212.4$76,375$21,020
1981312.1226.9234.3$83,175$22,390
1982314.6237.5248.7$83,850$23,430
1983336.9249.1256.7$89,775$24,580
1984366267.9267.8$97,550$26,430
1985378.3281.1277.3$100,825$27,740
1986420.5298.6282.5$112,075$29,460
1987478.7313.9292.8$127,575$30,970
1988520.3326.2304.9$138,650$32,190
1989555.8346.7319.6$148,125$34,210
1990559.4358.3336.9$149,075$35,350
1991552.6364.2351$147,275$35,940
1992542.9370.6361.6$144,675$36,570
1993553.4374.6372.4$147,475$36,960
1994578.5393382$154,175$38,780
1995591.9411.6392.8$157,750$40,610
1996621.1428.7404.4$165,525$42,300
1997656.2451.7413.7$174,875$44,570
1998679.7473.7420.1$181,150$46,740
1999730.5494.9429.4$194,675$48,830
2000770.6514.1443.8$205,375$50,730
2001791.9521456.4$211,050$51,410
2002850.7523.8463.7$226,700$51,680
2003917.6533.9474.2$244,550$52,680
20041021.1547.9486.9$272,125$54,060
20051093569.5503.4$291,275$56,190
20061140.3592519.6$303,900$58,410
20071162.5621.9534.3$309,800$61,360
20081084.7623.5554.9$289,075$61,520
20091010.7609552.8$269,350$60,090
20101020.7610.5562.1$272,025$60,240
2011992.9617.9579.6$264,600$60,970
20121081.5630.8591.8$288,225$62,240
20131206.9663.5600.5$321,650$65,470
20141296.2675.3610.1$345,450$66,630
20151315716.5610.8$350,450$70,700
20161349.5736.9618.6$359,650$72,710
20171430.2771.7631.7$381,150$76,140
20181435.2797.1647.2$382,475$78,650
20191425.4871.7659$379,875$86,010
20201455.5854.9667$387,900$84,350
20211698.6897.8698.5$452,675$88,590
20221937.8940754.4$516,425$92,750
20231902.91021.6785.3$507,125$100,800
20241905.71072.3808.5$507,875$105,800
20251950.1n/a830.4$519,700n/a

All three lines are nominal, so this is a true apples-to-apples race. There are two gaps to read. Home prices (red) pulling above income (blue) is the affordability squeeze: homes rose about 1.8 times faster than family incomes over the full stretch. Income sitting above inflation (cream) means paychecks did beat the cost of living, just nowhere near as fast as housing. The income series runs through 2024, the latest the Census has published.

Average home price, 1970 to 2025
19.5x
$26,650 to $519,700
Median family income, 1970 to 2024
10.7x
$9,867 to $105,800
Inflation (CPI), 1970 to 2025
8.3x
index 38.8 to 322.2
The gap
1.8x
homes rose about 1.8x faster than incomes

What this means for you

Why the goalposts keep moving

If home prices grow faster than your income, the down payment target is not standing still while you save toward it. A buyer saving 10% of income toward a 5% down payment is chasing a number that has historically outrun the savings rate. That is not a reason to panic. It is the reason strategy beats patience: low down payment programs, down payment assistance, and gift funds exist precisely because of this chart.

The honest version of the squeeze

This chart is real, and it is also smaller than social media says. Homes beat incomes by roughly 1.8x over 55 years, not 10x. Incomes genuinely outran inflation. The right conclusion is not that homeownership is impossible. It is that it takes more structure than it took in 1970, which is a solvable problem, not a verdict.

For referral partners

This is the chart behind the phrase “my clients feel priced out.” The feeling is grounded in 55 years of arithmetic, and the answer lives on the financing side: program selection, assistance layering, and payment structuring. Send the feeling, and the numbers conversation is handled from there.

A note on the data. All three series are nominal, which is what makes the comparison fair. Home prices are the average new home sold (Census ASPUS), used because it is the longest consistent dollar series; the median home shows the same shape at a slightly smaller multiple. Income is median family income, which reflects households adding second earners over these decades; individual wages grew slower. One line on this chart describes no individual market or file. Education only.

Related chart: The Mortgage Payment Burden.

Sources: Home prices are the Census and HUD average sales price of houses sold (ASPUS), annual averages of quarterly data, 1970 to 2025. Inflation is BLS CPI-U, all items, U.S. city average, annual averages (FRED: CPIAUCSL). Income is Census median family income in current dollars (FRED: MEFAINUSA646N), through 2024. All series are indexed to 1970 = 100; linear scale from zero.